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IMF inflows drive PSX to record close

Foreign funds would divert their liquidity into buying Pakistan’s stocks. This would merely increases prices of shares and be profitable for those who already hold stocks. PHOTO: FILE


KARACHI:

Pakistan’s benchmark KSE-100 Index soared to a fresh all-time high of 169,964.52 points, gaining 1.66% week-on-week to close at 169,865, fuelled by the International Monetary Fund (IMF)’s approval of a $1.2 billion disbursement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF).

On a day-to-day basis, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) began the week on a strong note, with the index gaining 1,218 points (+0.73%) to close at 168,303. The momentum continued on Tuesday as the KSE-100 closed at a new peak of 169,456, gaining 1,153 points or 0.69%.

On Wednesday, the index briefly breached the key psychological barrier of 170,000 during intraday trading, but profit-taking at and above that level pulled the market back, resulting in a flattish close at 169,452 points, down just five points. PSX attempted once again on Thursday to close above 170,000 but fell short, with the KSE-100 ending at 168,575, down 877 points or 0.52%.

On Friday, the third consecutive attempt, the market again approached the 170,000 level but narrowly missed it, with the index settling at 169,865, up 1,290 points or 0.77%.

Arif Habib Limited (AHL), in its weekly report, noted that the index increased from 167,086 last week to 169,865 this week, posting a gain of 2,779 points (1.66%). Sentiment was supported by the IMF’s $1.2 billion disbursement under the EFF second review and the first tranche of the RSF, along with the settlement of Pakistan Energy Sukuk (first phase), a step toward addressing circular debt in the power sector.

Remittances by overseas Pakistanis increased by 9% year-on-year to $3.19 billion in November 2025 compared to $2.92 billion in November 2024. On a month-on-month basis, remittances decreased by 7%. In 5MFY26, they rose 9% year-on-year to $16.14 billion.

This week’s T-bill auction saw the government raise Rs981.7 billion against a Rs1 trillion target, with strong participation of Rs1,925.1 billion. Yields eased slightly across all tenors by 1–3 basis points. Oil production inched up 0.1% week-on-week to 66,014 bpd, while gas output rose sharply by 6.1% to 2,917 mmcfd, supported by higher flows from Mari, Uch and Qadirpur.

Net metering’s share in total generation increased by 112 basis points year-on-year in October 2025, reflecting rising solar adoption and lower grid reliance. Overall power generation declined 3.7% year-on-year in October 2025. NEPRA expects power demand to grow 2.8% year-on-year in FY25. On a month-on-month basis, net metering units increased by 43.3%.

Auto sales (cars, LCVs, vans and jeeps) fell 11% month-on-month to 15,400 units in November 2025, though they increased 53% year-on-year.

Syed Danyal Hussain of JS Global noted that the KSE-100 regained momentum this week, closing at an all-time high of 169,964.52 points, up 1.7% week-on-week. He said sentiment improved following the IMF Executive Board’s approval and noted that the Fund reported Pakistan had met 8 of 13 structural benchmarks while introducing 11 new ones going forward. The IMF also revised down its GDP growth projection for FY26 to 3.2% from 3.6% earlier, while raising its fiscal and external sector outlook for subsequent years.

In other developments, the government approved a concessional tariff of Rs22.98 per unit on additional electricity consumption from the benchmark year to promote industrial and agriculture sectors. In the latest T-bill auction, the government raised Rs982 billion against a Rs1,055 billion target, with yields largely flat across tenors. State Bank reserves increased by $12 million to $14.6 billion.

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